Thursday, 15 January 2015

KNOWING ENDOWMENTS



Money…. The artificial resource that has become the basis of life. We spend most of our lives sowing time and effort to reap cash gains. Do we get enough of it? That may depend on the “variables” called the “needs” and “wants”.  However, the recent cry from people, politicians and nations have been unanimous. They all “don’t have money”.  Well, with the cost of living rising and implementation of the poorly planned GST coming to play, purchasing penthouses and diamond rings is going to be difficult for the everyday Joe…

The thought of saving was strongly reaffirmed when we were all educated that in order to purchase a $25 million dollar ring, one has to be diligent enough to save since childhood. With that thought in mind, we need to also know that merely saving it up in a bank account is not going to cut it. With the current rate of inflation recorded at 6%, the actual value of a person’s savings of $10,000 dwindles to a mere      $ 7,339 in just five years. Meaning, your $10,000 will only buy you products worth $7,339 in 5 years. If you place it in a fixed deposit, the dwindling effect is cushioned a little as it drops to $8587. Sure, you are better off keeping it in the fixed deposit. But that is the same as keeping someone who is medically critical from the needed medical aid for the fear of the medical aid itself killing them. Your money needs professional attention… Don’t deprive it.

Options for making one’s money grow are aplenty! But whether or not they are applicable to the current trend is subject to questioning.  It is one such outdated option that what i would like to highlight in this article. The ENDOWMENT PLAN.  Of course, now they come with much fancier names such as the “Guaranteed Cash Back Plan” or “Cash Promise Plan”. These are normally promoted and offered via insurance companies. One such company that is all set at promoting this is Hong Leong Assurance (HLA). You do have almost all the insurance companies offering such schemes. However, the recent blatantly misleading information fed by the representatives from HLA has what has caught my attention. And I have a gut feeling that many reading this article, may have actually invested in this particular product.  Well, let’s have a mini postmortem shall we?

The product promises:
  • 1.       Guaranteed cash returns (annual  cash back and one lump sum at the end of the tenure)
  • 2.       Insurance coverage
  • 3.       Investment returns

Rather than putting it into mere words, I have made a table and then gone on to giving a step by step explanation.  The following is based on an actual quotation tabled to me. Observe:



TABLE 1
Year
Premium (MYR)
Yearly Cashback (MYR)
Death Benefit
(MYR)
Total & Permanent Disablement (TPD) (MYR)
Surrender Value ( A) (MYR)
Surrender Value (B)
(MYR
1
15,221
3100
116,250
15,221
7,060
6,817
2
15,221
3100
113,150
30,442
16,355
15,740
3
15,221
3100
110,050
45,663
26,711
25,545
4
15,221
3100
106,950
60,884
38,994
37,041
5
15,221
3100
103,850
76,105
52,217
49,220
6
15,221
3100
100,750
91,326
66,258
61,937
7
.
.
.
0
3100
97,650
0
67,270
61,583
25
0
3100
41,850
0
98,171
52,119
Total
91,326
77,500
41,850
0
98,171
52,119

Scenario A
Based on what they said:
1)      You would need to pay for only 5 years and wait for your money to grow for the next 25 years.
2)      The annual cashback of MYR 3,100, withdrawable every year, amounts to  MYR 77,500
3)      Surrender value A or B based on market performance. But Surrender Value A is what is normally highlighted.
Scenario B
What the table actually shows is:
1)      What you paid for 5 years will be paying for insurance charges, commissions, service charges, policy charges and etc.
2)      You will be collecting MYR77,500 in total via the annual cashback.
3)      TPD cover stops at year 6.
4)      Insurance reduces as years progress (by MYR 3,100). Meaning, should the policy holder, for example, kick the bucket in year 20 (before the maturity of the policy), he will be receiving either

a.       A : MYR 89,901 (if the market performs well)           or
b.      B:  MYR 58,290 (if it performs not that well).

Therefore the total collection would be the MYR 3,100 x 20years = MYR 62,000 + The death benefit of either  A or B.

If A: MYR 62,000 + MYR89,901 = MYR 151,901 and if B :   MYR 62,000 + MYR 58,290 = MYR 120,290

5)      Total return  for 20 years on scenario is A: 66.33% and B: 31.72%. So the simple average for 20 years is A: 3.317% per year and B: 1.59% per year.

6)      Should all be well and good for the 25 year tenure (which we all hope for), the policy owner would receive either

A: MYR 98,171 or
B: MYR 52,119.

So, with the annual collection of MYR3,100  which he had been receiving, the total growth would be:
a.       Scene A : (MYR 3,100 x 25 years) + MYR 98,171 = MYR 175,671.00
b.      Scene B : (MYR 3,100 x 25 years) + MYR 52, 119 = MYR 129,619.00

7)      Now, given that you have paid RM 91,326 in total in premium for the first 5 years, the actual total return on your premium is on A = 92.36% and B = 41.93%.

a.       Simple average:

                                                              i.      Scene A  = 3.69% per year for 25 years
                                                            ii.      Scene B = 1.68 % per year for 25 years

So in short, this investment provides marginal yet expensive cover and market returns that are substantially low.  With only being able to grow your money at 3.69% per year for 25 years (although markets have been giving substantially more in such long periods), nobody can afford that diamond ring that he/she dreamt of since childhood. So think wisely before investing. After all, my team and i do provide non-obligatory investment advisory services.

Written By,
Ashveen Chakravarthy Sekaran
DEC 10th, 2014


P.S. Just in case you are planning to save up to buy a $25million ring in 50 years, and let us say there is an investment that is giving 10% returns per annum (we have been giving more), you would need to save $ 1,443.05 per month. So, start saving ;)